Could a falling dollar and pricey oil make manufacturing goods in the USA an economically viable solution again?
Not too sure, says Pete Engardio in the June 30 issue of Business Week.
The main reason it that it would cost too much to revitalize some heavy industries. James Turk, CEMCO’s CFO notes, “American foundries now can compete head-to-head on cost, but there are not many foundries, welders, machinists, and quality-control engineers. What we had 10 years ago is gone.”
Some industries are lost, and won’t come back, no matter how low the dollar goes. It would just require too much up-front investment to recreate the conditions for success. In addition, China’s productivity is climbing quite rapidly, a factor that compensate partially for local increasing wages and soaring shipping costs.
In fact, operating a high-cost manufacturing plant takes much more than just building the plant. An entire surrounding infrastructure, human, material and financial is required.
China has patiently built its own for the past 30 years.
One interviewee suggests applying to the USA some of the same formulas that worked wonders for China.
While certainly an excellent suggestion, I am no too sure about the feasibility and the potential results in the USA, a country with different cultural, political and economical backgrounds.
Einstein once said: “We cannot solve problems by using the same kind of thinking we used when we created them.”
We just need to follow his advice and look at the situation with a creative mind. If the industry has already gone offshore, what can we do in the USA to create jobs? And if the industry has not gone offshore yet, what can we do to make it flourish home?
I will close with an example. A friend of mine has been looking for a US supplier of computer monitors. His company has special requirements that prevent them to use just any basic monitor. They have been looking for months at possible US suppliers, just unsuccessfully. It seems like they are all gone. How many companies have been in a similar situation? I bet thousands, more than enough for a local industry to flourish.
Read the Business Week article online.
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