Archive for November, 2007

China vs. India: The Opinion Of An Indian Expert

Posted by Remi on November 6th, 2007

I met Vivek Vaid during an IAOP (US-based outsourcing association) meeting in San Francisco.

His comments and remarks to the speakers really impressed me, so I asked him to share his thoughts on how India can retain leadership on China in the IT outsourcing field.

On the future of outsourcing

Outsourcing is here to stay, and India is set to remain the leading outsourcing destination by far. According to Vivek, even if the price gap continues to narrow between India and the USA, the savings will remain substantial enough to justify the whole process of outsourcing.

In addition, the pool of developers available in the US / Europe on one side and China/ India on the other side, makes any short-term change quite unlikely.

On China vs. India

The real Indian boom happened in early to mid 90’s, when the historical leaders landed the first massive deals from companies the size of GE, Amex, etc.

In comparing China’s current situation to India’s in the 90s, Vivek notes that China benefits from an excellent image and recognition, something India lacked back then. That said, Chinese providers have yet to show their ability to sign large contracts and execute on them. In addition, China has to find an accelerated track to get there since it would take too long to climb the ladder’s steps one by one.

In Vivek’s opinion, Chinese suppliers are too far down the road to really challenge Indian leaders, at least for the next 3-5 years. Alternatively, we see Indian players setting up shops in China as part of their global resourcing & expansion strategy.

On the Indian outsourcing leaders (TCS, Infosys, Wipro and the likes)

The leaders have been focusing their efforts on IT development and maintenance, but little has been done in the fields of innovation and management, which has resulted in Indian companies having ties mostly to American CIO’s, but little to the other departments.

According to Vivek, the time has come for India to move up the value chain, and provide global corporations with more high-end services, a challenge that requires Indian leaders to become global suppliers, hence the many acquisitions performed in the USA.

The timing is perfect for them as they are cash-rich and benefit from excellent valuations. For instance, a company like Infosys generates over 1 billion in profit every year.

In addition to the increase in respectability and visibility, having a presence in the USA enables Indian leaders to better secure the flow of work sent back to India, where the high margins are and will remain.

American corporations are to benefit from this move, as a more global supplier can provide with a more global offer and a better reactivity, altogether a win-win scenario.

On the impact of the weak dollar

Indian companies have had the reputation of “throwing people at a problem”, since they could so easily tap into such a vast reservoir of talents.

Now that a weak dollar threatens their margins, industry leaders have been working hard to dramatically improve their internal efficiency, something that, according to Vivek, is also good for their US clients, since the overall quality of their deliverables is likely to improve.

By the same token, an increased efficiency can only make Indian suppliers more competitive on the International scene.

That said, new contracts include now provisions concerning parities between currencies, something that was missing until now since very few would have predicted such a strong depreciation of the dollar against the rupee.

On the role of NASSCOM

I commented that while top suppliers have impeccable reputation, it was not the case for the myriad of smaller size suppliers, and suggested that NASSCOM should take some actions. Vivek disagreed here since he believes that it is not the role of NASSCOM to legislate, nor does it have the breadth to enforce any decision. Vivek believes that the current phenomenon is more of a phase in the Indian outsourcing growth, en route toward maturity. However, it takes two to tango, and a simple sanity check would have enabled US clients to often stay away from unreliable providers.

His new venture

Vivek has a successful track record of serial entrepreneur in the IT outsourcing area to India, the Philippines and Latin America, primarily in the field of financial services. He started, grew and successfully sold several companies. A few weeks ago, Vivek launched his latest venture, a company called KnowledgeLease. The company’s charter does not include the outsourcing component itself, but rather consulting about how to best tackle outsourcing nowadays. Best of luck!

Conclusion

I found Vivek’s opinions very valid. I would just differ on one – minor (?) point, and that is that china is going to take overall leadership over India.

In fact, the major strength of China in this race to leadership is that its focus is not on becoming the world leader, but in creating the conditions that make the country the privileged destination for IT outsourcing.

By providing a premier infrastructure, enabling local providers to equip the government with the most advanced technologies, making Intel, Microsoft, Google, and the likes call China their home when its comes to engineering, China is becoming the excellence center of the world for IT outsourcing. Customers are flocking to China. Leadership will inevitably follow. In other words China has in fact created its own path to leadership.

In seven years from now, the individual leaders of IT outsourcing will still be Indian, but China will have become overall the world’s number one destination for IT outsourcing, as it has become today the undisputed center for goods manufacturing.


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Uruguay, A Hot Destination For IT Outsourcing?

Posted by Remi on November 2nd, 2007

Tabare Vazquez, the President of Uruguay, gave an interesting lecture last Wednesday at the World Affairs Council of San Francisco; and I was amazed to hear that Uruguay was the number one software exporter among Latin American countries. You heard me well: number one before Brazil!

I googled this fact, and it looks like Uruguay is the number 1 indeed.

For more, you can read (in Spanish though!) this article from La Tercera or this news published by the White House following a recent visit of President Vazquez to the USA.

Well-done for a country with a total population under 3.5 millions.

I assume that being the largest software exporter also means being the favorite IT offshoring destination, and I am still struggling to realize that Uruguay could be bigger than Brazil in this area.

And still, I do not believe that Uruguay has the breadth to directly become an offshore leader. How could it possibly compete against China, which produces 600,000 graduates in engineering every year or India with 450,000+ graduates?

However, it looks like the country has embarked to silently become THE regional hub of the IT outsourcing global powerhouses to serve the needs of the American markets. Large software providers / outsourcing companies (IBM, TCS and the likes) have already established hubs in Uruguay.

As President Vazquez noted, “Uruguay is such a small country that is it vital for us to expand abroad by establishing as many partnerships as possible.”

Again well done.

Having said that, it might be worthwhile for Uruguay to capitalize on this great achievement to launch an aggressive marketing campaign in the USA, aimed at increasing general awareness on the potential of the country. It would help attract the much-needed foreign investment Uruguay is actively seeking to reduce its dependency on its traditional sources of revenue.


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